JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – James Taylor sang of "Fire and Rain" in 1970. The current atmospheric set up is bringing both to the gulf coast separated by a mere 800 miles. 

The latest drought monitor continues to keep Jacksonville as well as all of our area in an "abnormally dry" classification. It's the lowest of drought classifications, with a small but growing bulls eye on southeast Georgia of a D1 drought which is a moderate classification. 

While we're certainly not in the pitiful shape California is, we are growing ever more thirsty and the small sporadic fires over the past few weeks are a clear indication of that.

High pressure is parked directly over Jacksonville. Under the influence of high pressure a couple of things happen. First, skies are generally clear or mostly sunny. Moisture can't rise if the air is sinking. No clouds means no rain. The second thing that happens is the air heats up as the air is compressed against the surface; quickly. 

High temperatures along the first coast will hover in the mid 90s for everybody with a few locations closing in on the century mark. 

As hot as it is across the region, we're expected to stay below the century mark officially in Jacksonville. Hitting 100° at JIA is pretty rare. It last occurred in July 2010. Prior to 2010, it hasn't happened since 2000. 

While it may not be 100 degrees, it's certainly going to feel like it. It's going to be downright dangerous where the heat index exceeds 105 degrees, which is expected in numerous locations.

Tropics target Texas

While we can't catch a drink, the folks in Texas are bracing for a life-threatening flood that may once again submerge America's 4th-largest city: Houston; a city just now recovering from devastating flooding over the Memorial Day weekend. 

The National Hurricane Center gives an area of disturbed weather over the southern gulf an 80% chance of development. 

On Sunday, a hurricane reconnaissance plane was sent into the storm to see if 'Bill', the next name on the list of hurricane names, had formed. What they Hurricane Hunters found was a broad, weak area of low pressure that had not yet become well defined enough to be classified as a storm. Another plane will investigate the system on Monday.

The same high pressure that is keeping Jacksonville dry will also steer this tropical weather into the Texas coast where many areas received over 20 inches of rain in the month of May. Here's a look at the latest models:

The storm, or whatever becomes of the moisture, is expected to head into the central Texas coast. With a storm as disorganized as this, the point of landfall is irrelevant, as most of the moisture will be to the east or what we call the "dirty side" of the storm.

That would put Houston in a precarious position to be on the receiving end of some 10 to 15 inches of rain with isolated amounts higher than that. The National Weather Service in Houston has called this a "dangerous flood threat."

We'll continue to keep you updated on our drought and high temperatures as well as the tropics as the week wears on. John is off this week so Rebecca will get you through your Monday evening and then Blake (me) will keep you posted the rest of the week.