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Tracking the tropics


Tropics Watch


Gulf
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Atlantic
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Tropics Watch Potential

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Posted 43 minutes ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Pasch

Tropics Watch Satellite

Tropical Waves

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 35W from 16N southward, moving westward at 15 knots. Precipitation: the wave is moving through the area of nearby ITCZ precipitation. A great part of the wave is embedded in the dry Saharan air layer.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 60W from 19N southward, moving westward at 15 to 20 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate from 15N to 20N between the tropical wave and 62W.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W/70W from 18N southward, moving westward at 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is between 68W and 71W, from 18N southward.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 87W, from 19N southward, moving westward at 15 knots. Precipitation: scattered moderate is from 14N northward from 80W westward. Widely scattered moderate to strong is inland in Central America, from Nicaragua to Honduras, El Salvador and in southern sections of Guatemala.

A tropical wave is along 93W/94W, from 21N southward in the southwest Gulf of Mexico, moving westward at 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is within 180 nm on either side of the tropical wave, from 21N southward.

Monsoon Trough/ITCZ

The Monsoon Trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea near 14W, to 22W and 37W and 40W. The ITCZ continues from 40W, to 45W, and 52W. Precipitation: numerous moderate to strong is along the coast of Africa, within 240 nm of the coast, from 06N to 11N. This precipitation is associated with the next tropical wave, which is forecast to arrive in the Atlantic Ocean later today. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere within 270 nm north of The Monsoon Trough from 20W to 30W; 240 nm on either side of the monsoon trough/ITCZ between the 35W tropical wave and 50W; and from 08N southward between 50W and 57W.

Gulf of Mexico

Upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers most of the Gulf of Mexico, from 90W westward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is along the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico from 27N southward from 90W eastward. A 1018 mb high pressure center is near 88W. High pressure and benign marine conditions will prevail across the region through Monday.

Caribbean Sea

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 60W from 19N southward, moving westward at 15 to 20 knots. The wave is just to the east of the Lesser Antilles islands.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W/70W from 18N southward, moving westward at 15 knots.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 87W, from 19N southward, moving westward at 15 knots. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is along the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Upper level cyclonic wind flow is in the northwest corner of the Caribbean Sea.

The Monsoon Trough is along 08N/10N, between 74W in Colombia and beyond southern Costa Rica. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate to strong is from 07N to 11N between 70W in northwest Venezuela and 76W in Colombia. Scattered moderate to strong also is from 11N to 13N between 81W and 83W.

High pressure to the north of the area will maintain fresh to occasionally strong trade winds in the south-central Caribbean Sea through Monday.

Atlantic Ocean

An upper level trough extends from a cyclonic circulation center near 54W, to the northeast Caribbean Sea. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 17N northward between 42W and 56W.

A ridge will continue across the Atlantic Ocean through this weekend. A low pressure area, which is expected to develop east of Jacksonville Florida on Friday, will drift slowly eastward across the northern waters through Sunday night.

Posted 38 minutes ago by NHC Forecaster Mt/Dbm

Tropics Watch Sea Temperature