Gas increase slows, drop still forecast

By Bruce Hamilton - The Morning Show anchor

JACKSONVILLE, FLa. - Motorists across the country saw increases at the pump last week, but that trend is not likely to continue. Monthly average gas prices to decline through the end of the year, reaching as low as $2.27 in December.

According to the latest gas prices trends report, the average price of gasoline from June 1 to August 31 would be $2.60 -- the lowest since 2009.

The average price through the end of 2015 is forecast to be $2.47. If that forecast holds true, the average price for this year ($2.43) would also be the lowest since 2009.

"Gas prices should already be falling, but are still adjusting to minor bumps in the oil market," AAA spokesman Mark Jenkins. "There is plenty of oil to go around, but speculators are latching on to any hope for a recovery in prices. Despite the volatility, motorists are still enjoying the cheapest summer gas prices in five years, saving nearly $15 for a full tank of gas."

Oil prices reached their highest level of the year last week, before settling below $60 on Friday. The price for a barrel of oil averaged $60.09 last week, an increase of 44 cents from the week before. Prices settled as high as $61.44 in the middle of the week on news of slowing domestic oil production and reports of increased demand.

The global oil market remains characterized by abundant supply and key producers are not showing signs of curbing output. U.S. production rates remain elevated despite recent signals of a slowdown in production due to reduced rig counts, and Saudi Arabia, the world's leading crude exporter, is reportedly preparing to increase its output to record levels.

Despite projections of rising demand, both factors have the potential to increase the global supply glut, likely keeping downward pressure on global crude prices.

  • The national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline on Sunday is $2.80; 5 cents more than last week, but 86 cents cheaper than this time last year.
  • The average price for gas in Florida is $2.71; a half cent more than last week, but 86 cents lower than this time last year.
  • The average price for gas in Georgia is $2.72; 4 cents more than last week, but 82 cents less than this time last year.

 

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