Heavier rains Monday with tropical disturbance offshore

What impact could it bring?

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JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Tonight will be moistly dry with temps in the 80s cooling to 73.

Monday a hurricane reconnaissance plan will be flying a few hundred miles east of Jacksonville to see if Invest 96 is developing over the Gulf Stream. It will be surveying a low pressure that will track over Georgia and South Carolina Monday evening.

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The system will hardly have any noticeable impact on our area other than increase scattered storms Monday afternoon with more numerous thunderstorms in Southeast Georgia.

Although the low could potentially develop into a tropical depression or storm, any winds that gust over 30 mph would be primarily confined to the Savannah, GA area on the north side of the system.

Morning coastal showers are possible tomorrow with a 60% chance for heavier rains after lunchtime spreading inland through the day.

We stay in a easterly flow after the low moves inland Monday night and Tuesday with passing showers in play each day this week.

I don’t see any gap in the rainy days as moisture streams in on the easterly flow.

This tropical disturbance has a 50% chance of developing according to the National Hurricane Center. Although it will be near the coast Monday afternoon, the NHC is could cancell the recon mission if necessary.

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About the Author:

After covering the weather from every corner of Florida and doing marine research in the Gulf, Mark Collins settled in Jacksonville to forecast weather for The First Coast.