The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 2.
As of 11 p.m. Tuesday, the disturbance was moving west-northwest at about 26 mph and was about 105 miles east of Trinidad, nearing the southern Windward Islands.
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According to forecasters, a westward or west-northwestward motion is expected through Thursday.
“On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over the northeastern coast of Venezuela tonight, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or near the northern coast of Venezuela and the northeast coast of Colombia on Wednesday and Thursday,” the NHC said in its 11 p.m. Tuesday advisory.
Maximum sustained winds were near 40 mph with higher gusts, and some strengthening is forecast during the next few days if the disturbance remains over water, according to forecasters.
“Conditions appear conducive for development if the disturbance remains over water, and it will likely become a tropical storm near the southern Windward Islands or while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea,” the NHC said.
Formation chances remain high at 70% for the next 48 hours and 90% for the next five days.
Meanwhile, the NHC is also monitoring two other disturbances in the tropics: one in the northern Gulf of Mexico and another in the eastern Atlantic.
Northern Gulf of Mexico: “An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move slowly westward or west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next two days. Slow development of the low is possible, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week,” the NHC said.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium— 40%
- Formation chance through five days: Medium — 40%
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: “A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave over the next several days, and some gradual development is possible later this week while the overall system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic,” the NHC said.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Low — near 0%
- Formation chance through five days: Low — 20%