Tropics go dormant

NHC downgrades tropical wave near Lesser Antilles

JACKSONVILLE , Fla – The National Hurricane Center lowered expectations for any possible development of a tropical wave to 10% over the next  five days. The wave in the central Atlantic will cross the Lesser Antillies Tuesday but the chance for it becoming a named storm is low.

Tropical wave, called 96L on the weather charts, has not organized on a westard path that takes it to close to Bermuda by the end of next week.

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The tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic approaches the northern Leeward Islands Monday and crosses close to Antigua on Tuesday and is expeced to be well north of Dominican Republic by Wednesday.

The National Hurricane Center lowered its potential development Saturday morning to a 10% chance of development in the next 48 hours and 10% out to five days. 

Forecast models limit development because of dry air and unfavorable shearing high altitude winds preceeding 96L's path.. 

Forecast for Monday shows what could be a tropical storm (red blob) following dry air.

 


About the Author:

After covering the weather from every corner of Florida and doing marine research in the Gulf, Mark Collins settled in Jacksonville to forecast weather for The First Coast.