JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – 8 a.m. Tuesday UPDATE: Most areas got a small reprieve from the rain last night but clearly it didn't last long. Heavy rain once again pushing through Jacksonville. Being that most of the area is now saturated, any additional rainfall could cause low-lying flooding.
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Once this batch of rainfall moves out this morning, rain chances will drop dramatically the rest of the afternoon leaving behind just a scant 10 to 20 percent chance of a few left over sprinkles or light showers.
The Sun will make an appearance starting Wednesday with a nice end to the week in store.
Above is a look at the rainfall totals over the last 48 hours. Pretty impressive if you ask me. Some areas have even exceeded 4 inches.
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2:30 p.m. UPDATE: The rainfall is beginning to move out of Jacksonville proper, finally. However like the eye of a hurricane, don't be fooled by the lull. More rain is on the way for the overnight hours.
Many locations have now recorded two inches or more with another inch or two possible by Tuesday morning.
There have been no reports of severe weather thus far but some ponding on area streets has been reported.
Expect the bulk of the rain to be out of Duval county by 4pm. The 'dry' weather will last a few hours before the next round moves in.
For those living in our southern counties (St. Johns, Flagler, Putnam, Alachua) the rain will last there a bit longer but you too will get a break before the next round.
For those that are headed to the Orlando area, they are currently under a tornado watch. The severe weather threat only increases the further south you go.
Expect the sun to return by Tuesday afternoon.
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10 a.m. UPDATE: Rainfall continues across our area this morning with many areas coming in with 1 to 2 inches of rain. Most locations in southeast Georgia have surpassed 1 inch and areas in northeast Florida have as well.
Here is a look at rainfall totals over the last 24 hours in a few select locations as of 10 a.m.
The severe weather potential is increasing to our south. The Storm Prediction Center is monitoring the possibility of a tornado watch for central Florida later this morning. The watch my graze some of our southern most counties like Flagler.
At this time, no severe weather or significant flooding has been reported to our newsroom. However, if you see any weather related damage, if safe, please snap a picture and send it to producer@wjxt.com. Thanks!
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A Weather Authority Alert Day is in effect Monday morning due to the likelihood of 1 to 3 inches of rain falling over a 12-hour period.
Currently there are no weather watches of any kind in effect.
Please send any rain reports to us at weather@wjxt.com. If you see flooding or other severe weather and can safely take a picture or video, please send to photos@wjxt.com.
Current model estimates from the Hydrological Prediction Center along with our in-house computer models are in agreement on 1 to 3 inches of rainfall falling area wide overnight Sunday into Monday, with isolated amounts higher.
While widespread severe weather is not anticipated, the Storm Prediction Center puts most of northeast Florida in a slight risk for seeing a few storms capable of producing high winds in excess of 60 mph.
Most of the severe weather risk will be in central Florida.
If there is any good news here, it's that the back half of Monday may dry out in the afternoon hours which, would salvage some of your St. Patrick's Day -- if we're lucky.
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Previous story: Instead of searching for the pot of gold on Monday, you'll probably be looking for the umbrellas. Lots of green (as in rainfall on a map) is headed this way.
A storm system is developing over Texas that will begin to interact with our very warm, moist atmosphere over Florida. That will set the stage for heavy rainfall beginning as early as Sunday afternoon for our western viewing area.
Here's how it all breaks down:
The current thinking is that this area of low pressure will pass to our north and with it carry the bulk of the heaviest rain. That doesn't mean Jacksonville will miss out. We won't. Heavy rainfall is expected here as well.
Overnight Sunday into Monday is when the bulk of the wet weather moves into the metro area. Here is what we are expecting:
Most of the area should receive between 1 and 3 inches of rain with embedded thunderstorms possible.
Severe weather, though possible, is not expected to be widespread. Certainly a severe storm or brief tornado is possible but not anticipated at this time. We will continue to monitor the Storm Prediction Center for updates regarding this possibility.
Being that this system is a slow mover, the rain will be with us for a longer period of time.
The rainfall should move out by Tuesday afternoon, with bright sunny skies expected to return by the middle and latter part of next week.
Please stay tuned to WJXT and News4Jax.com.