TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – A new poll in Iowa shows former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush running second to Mike Huckabee in the 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- astounding numbers for a man not yet in the race.
When asked if the country has Bush fatigue after two Bush presidencies, Al Cardenas, with the American Conservative Union, told Channel 4 that will be up to the people's choice.
Bush was inaugurated twice as Florida's governor -- the first and only Republican so far to have two terms. Cardenas is one of Bush's closest advisors. He thinks the former governor is inching closer to making the run for president.
"If you had asked me six months ago, I would have said it's highly unlikely he will run," Cardenas said. "If you asked me today, I would say it's 50-50."
But the run is anything but certain.
"As a friend I want him to do what's best for him and his family, and he ought to make a decision based on knowing all of the facts, and I think that's the process he's going through right now," Cardenas said.
Bush has been taking a lot of flak from his party's right over comments on immigration, or as he called it, "An act of love for their children."
Bush has always been a moderate on immigration and while the right wing of his party is unhappy, University of South Florida political scientist Susan MacManus believes Bush's statements will end up helping, not hurting if he runs.
"His view, which right now may be not what the extremely conservative people want, but it may be mainstream by the time the election comes along," MacManus said.
And MacManus said the former governor's doing all the right things to get in the presidential race.
"A lot of people think he will make his decision on whether he feels like, based on polls and gut instincts and everything else, that he can beat Hillary Clinton," MacManus said.
Bush promised a decision after November's election.