We are seeing some sunshine with humid conditions. Overall we should see a temporary reduction in the rain across NE Florida due to the drier air sliding in before Elsa’s rain Tuesday night and Wednesday. Showers and isolated thunderstorms increase this afternoon mainly north of I-10 and then taper off after sunset quickly this evening.
Tropical Storm Elsa is compact with tropical storm winds at 60 mph coming off Cuba tonight and then along or very near the west coast of Florida later on Tuesday through early Wednesday. Most of the models show Elsa moving inland over west-central or northern Florida.
By late tomorrow afternoon our southern areas near Flagler and Putnam county will start to feel the tropical moisture heading north. Numerous showers and storms will build up into Jacksonville and into Georgia by evening. Temperatures will stay in the mid to upper 80s.
Impacts from Elsa begin late Tuesday night through Wednesday with dryer air and hot 90s returning Thursday. 2-4 inches of rain may come in two waves with the steady soaking batch in the morning followed by a decrease with subsequent afternoon thunderstorms Wednesday.
Winds blow at 20-30 mph but gust higher in heavy showers to over 35 mph. Tornado risk low to isolated Wednesday.
Hazards possible from Elsa: Flooding rainfall given already saturated ground and elevated river levels for NE FL. Tropical storm force wind/gust will cause tree damage that could potentially impact power lines and cause outages. Winds will be strongest in open exposed areas during heavy rainfall squalls. Minor storm surge inundation is also expected along the local Atlantic Coast and within the St. Johns River basin, as well as the Suwannee River.