NHC releases first tropical outlook of the season; Gulf storm becomes focus

Disturbance in Gulf has low chance of tropical development

NHC Tropical Outlook (Copyright 2021 by WJXT News4Jax - All rights reserved.)

Right on time, the National Hurricane Center has released its first tropical outlook of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

The outlook was issued for a disorganized cluster of thunderstorms in the Gulf of Mexico. The chance for development is low but the system will keep locations along the gulf moist with increased rain chances over the next few days.

For us, we’ll continue our humid and damp conditions into the workweek.

Latest NHC Update:

1. An area of low pressure is located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles south of Pensacola, Florida. This system is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama, and over the central and northern Gulf of Mexico. Surface pressures remain high, and strong upper-level winds should prevent significant development before this system moves inland over the central Gulf Coast later tonight or on Monday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the central Gulf Coast and will spread across the southeast U.S. during the next day or so. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

About the Author:

Danielle forecasts the weather on the weekends and reports on climate, environment and other issues during the week