The biggest burst of sustained tropical development this month is fueling great speculation that the hurricane hibernation is about to wake. If so we will likely have to wait until September to see a new name spinning in the ocean.
The small group of thunderstorms in the central Atlantic about 100-150 miles wide is getting a lot of attention for having no potential for land impact other than a possible brush past Bermuda during the first week of September.
Models develop a hurricane out of a blob of storms in the Central Atlantic which could generate swell on Labor Day along the First Coast. It is too early to speculate on the size of the waves but it appears the forecast models are overamplifying the strength of Invest 91L. Dry air is keeping storms concentrated and hostile shear is separating the union which would promote growth.
With these factors in play, no massive fetch will develop to send bottom turns and barrels our way. Least surfers can hope for shoulder-high waves Monday.
Regardless, rip currents may increase Sunday and Monday during the Labor Day Holiday and swimmers need to be cautious.
Hopefully, I am underestimating the swell but will see if any changes come as we are a week out from the 1-2 day swell.