While there are only two spots the National Hurricane Center is currently watching, the tropical Atlantic continues to fuel hotspots.
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or so a few hundred miles offshore of North Carolina. Some tropical or subtropical development is possible this weekend while the system moves northeastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. By early next week, the low is expected to reach colder water and an area of strong upper-level winds, ending its chances for tropical or subtropical development.
Formation chances for 2-7 days is 10-20%.
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Development of this system appears unlikely during the next day or two, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a few days. A tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic.
Formation chances for 2-7 days is 10-60%.
The NHC issued the last advisory for PTC Dexter. This storm never reached hurricane-force winds and remained a Tropical Storm until Thursday morning when the system was downgraded.
NOAA issued its latest update on Thursday. Their predictions only dropped by one storm in each category. Siting neutral climate conditions, they are expecting an above-average season, but there isn’t much to help storms develop. However, the warm waters and tropical waves leaving Africa are helping to get our attention. Historically, the busiest time for Hurricane season is August through October.