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Jacksonville braces for dangerous heat as holiday weekend rain chances drop, says meteorologist Katie Garner

Fire danger remains high as the 90s return

Dangerous heat and dry conditions

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Hi friends, Katie Garner here with The Weather Authority. If you’ve felt like things are getting hotter around Jacksonville lately, you’re spot on. We’re waking up to temperatures already in the upper 60s and low 70s, and those numbers will soar quickly as the day goes on.

We’re talking highs in the upper 80s and right into the low 90s through most of the next five days. The Exact Track 4D radar and our forecast graphics have shown a pretty steady run of 90, 91, and even 92 degrees in some spots.

These 90s aren’t just a little warmer than average — you’ll really feel the difference, especially compared to those mid-80s days we left behind.

It’s not just about comfort either. The region is in the middle of a major drought, which means fire danger is very real. With the kind of wind gusts we’re seeing — sometimes strong enough to move flames fast — it’s extra important to be cautious around anything that could spark a fire.

I mention this every day because it matters. Water your lawn, sure, but don’t let your guard down when it comes to open flames or even tossing a cigarette. I want everyone to stay safe.

Rain chances for the holiday weekend

Now, let’s talk about your upcoming holiday weekend. The good news is that the latest runs of Exact Track 4D have lowered the chance for rain Saturday. I had it up at around 50 percent before, but now it’s closer to a 30 percent chance for scattered rain. Sunday, we see a slight uptick again, but nothing widespread is expected.

Most of this rain could drift in from the Atlantic, hitting areas southwest of Jacksonville like Gainesville and Green Cove Springs more than others. Still, I’d suggest having both a plan A and a plan B, just in case you want to keep those outdoor activities flexible.

Staying safe outdoors

With the combination of high heat and our dry stretch, please think twice about heavy outdoor work or exercise. If you have to be out, try to move those workouts inside — trust me, your body will thank you.

If staying indoors just isn’t in the cards, stick to the “work for 20 minutes, rest for 20 minutes” rule, and keep your water bottle handy. Morning bus stop temperatures will be around 70 degrees with plenty of sun, but by the time school lets out it’s expected to be close to 88 degrees, so dress for heat and keep an eye on the sky.

Remember, these are my best observations and forecasts as of now. Things can change, especially in a season like this, so keep checking News4JAX and Exact Track 4D for the latest updates.

Share your weather photos

Are you seeing the heat haze, clouds building, or catching the first drops of a weekend shower? I want to see your weather! Snap a photo and share it through SnapJAX — you might see it featured right here on News4JAX.