The National Weather Service in Jacksonville is modifying flood stage levels for the North Fork Black Creek near Middleburg
Effective Thursday, August 27, 2026 the NWS will change the flood stage levels for the North Fork Black Creek near Middleburg to better reflect the impacts from flooding along this portion of the river.
These new flood levels are:
- Action Stage 11 feet - remains unchanged
- Minor Flood Stage 15 feet - lowered 1 foot
- Moderate Flood Stage 18 feet - remains unchanged
- Major Flood Stage 20 feet - lowered 1 foot
This location is a flood-only point, which means forecasts are issued whenever the creek is expected to reach or exceed action stage within the next five days. Forecasts for this location are provided by the Southeast River Forecast Center in Peachtree City, Georgia. River flood warnings are issued by the National Weather Service in Jacksonville whenever the river is expected to exceed minor flood stage.
These updated flood stages were a direct result of analysis from significant floods over the last 75 years and in close partnership with Clay County Emergency Management. To clearly communicate impacts along the North Fork of Black Creek, the statements have been updated to reflect when flood impacts begin along the North Fork.
These statements are:
28 feet - Historic flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. The approaches to the Blanding Blvd Bridge on the north side of North Fork begin to flood. Widespread inundation of numerous sides on both banks of the creek expands with many homes uninhabitable or destroyed.
25 feet - Catastrophic flooding continues throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. On the north bank of the North Fork, homes not elevated are rendered uninhabitable on Lazy Acres Trail. Water reaches Falcon Run Lane and Country Meadows Drive, surrounding residences in the area. On the south bank of the North Fork, Banks Road and Laurel Drive are impassable. Homes not elevated along the creek experience extensive inundation. Elevated structures
along both banks of the creek begin flooding inside.
22 feet - Considerable flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Water expands on the north bank of the North Fork beyond Trefoil Trail, impacting homes on American Way. Lazy Acres Trail is impassable in many locations with numerous structures flooded with several feet of water inside. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands along Scenic Drive and homes along the creek. Scenic Drive is impassable in several places. Downstream of Blanding Blvd Bridge, flooding continues to worsen and expand.
20 feet - Significant flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Flooding worsens considerably on the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with numerous residences flooded, some with more than 2 feet of water inside. Access into some of these areas by Lazy Acres Road becomes mpossible. On the south bank of the North Fork, Scenic Drive near Wisteria becomes impassable. Numerous residences in this area flood, with up to 2 feet of water inside. Downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge flooding worsens along North and South Lee. Flooding expands onto Cornell and Main Street.
18 feet - Some homes on Hawk Haven Drive are isolated by flood waters. Flooding expands along the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with water entering numerous residences. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands impacting properties along Scenic Drive east of Wisteria Lane. Downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge, water moves under several structures on North and South Lee near the creek.
16 feet - Flooding expands into the yards of more properties along Lazy Acres Road on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins further downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge along North and South Lee. Flooding begins on areas of the south bank of the North Fork, particularly at Scenic Drive and Enchanted Lane.
15 feet - Water begins to enter backyards of residential properties along Hawk Haven Road and Lazy Acres Road and Redbug Alley on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins at Enchanted Lane on the south bank of the North Fork.
13 feet - Water begins to flood into wooded areas along portions of North Fork Black Creek downstream from the gage to near Blanding Blvd.
The data for this forecast point is provided through our partner, the US Geological Survey. Without this critical data, forecasts and warnings would not be possible at this location. You can learn more about this and other stream gages in Florida by visiting: