WEATHER ALERT
TRACKING THE TROPICS
VIDEO FORECAST
TROPICS WATCH
Gulf
Atlantic
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Posted 2 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Papin
Tropical Waves
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 38W, from 08N to 21N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with this wave is from 04N to 12N between 28W and 43W.
A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean and has an axis along 63W. It is moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is occurring between 11N and 18N between 52W and 64W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from Haiti to the Colombia-Venezuela border, moving W at around 15 kt. No significant convection is associated with this ave at this time.
A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into Central America along 88W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with this wave is impacting waters W of 82W.
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues SW to 08N35W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 06N53W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 11N E of 20W.
Gulf Of America
A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W. A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is generating scattered moderate convection in the NE Gulf N of 26N E of 85W. In the SW Gulf, a surface in the Bay of Campeche is generating fresh winds. Elsewhere, winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will bring gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula this evening.
Caribbean Sea
The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft. In the E basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will continue to support fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas across the south- central Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist over much of the western Caribbean through tonight.
Atlantic Ocean
The pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to locally fresh trades along with moderate seas. E of 30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong winds along with rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N, including near the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon night, before stalling and dissipating into the middle of next week. Fresh SW winds will develop ahead of this front, mainly N of 28N.
Posted 2 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Konarik
