WEATHER ALERT
TRACKING THE TROPICS
VIDEO FORECAST
TROPICS WATCH
Gulf
Atlantic
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
Posted 4 months ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Bucci
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N14W and continues southwestward to 01N30W. The ITCZ extends from 01N30W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted south of 06N and east of 30W.
Gulf Of America
The pressure gradient between high pressure centered over the SE United States, and a surface trough south of Cuba is supporting fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-10 ft, over the SE Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft are found over the remainder of the Gulf waters.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds and rough seas will gradually diminish today in the SE Gulf. High pressure will build across the Gulf, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds basin- wide by tonight, then prevailing through late week.
Caribbean Sea
A weak pressure gradient prevails across the Caribbean basin. Moderate to locally fresh winds are found S of Cuba and just off the coast of Colombia. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are noted. Seas are mainly in the 3-4 ft range, reaching 5 ft off the coast of Colombia.
For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient over the Caribbean basin into the weekend. Fresh NE winds are expected through tonight across the Windward Passage and south of Cuba as a late-season cold front moves across Cuba, then dissipates along the N coast of Hispaniola Wed night into Thu. Tranquil marine conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri through the weekend.
Atlantic Ocean
A cold front extends from near 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong winds prevail across much of the waters west of the front, except for gentle to moderate winds N of 28N and W of 65W. The front has ushered in a set of northerly swell, with seas in the 8-10 ft range west of the front, except for 4-6 ft seas in the area of gentle to moderate winds. High pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters, anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near 30N42W. There is a weak pressure gradient over these waters, with mainly light to gentle winds. One exception is due south of the high center, where the pressure gradient is slightly tighter between the high and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ, supporting moderate winds. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range N of 23N and E of 40W, and 4-6 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas will follow the front as it moves eastward through tonight. Conditions will gradually improve late this week as the front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over the SE waters. High pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for the end of the week, bringing tranquil conditions to area waters through the weekend.
Posted 0 minutes ago by NHC Forecaster Al
