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This Week in Jacksonville: Business Edition - Why a former congressman says the future belongs to skilled trades

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. โ€“ Former U.S. Congressman Dr. Jason Altmire says Americaโ€™s workforce problem isnโ€™t a lack of opportunityโ€”itโ€™s a mismatch between what schools are producing and what employers need.

Altmire, now president and CEO of Career Education Colleges and Universities and co-author of the new book Trade Up, describes a paradox in the labor market: โ€œrecord numbers of college graduates that canโ€™t find jobs,โ€ happening at the same time as โ€œa record numbers of employers that can find skilled workers to fill high demand roles.โ€

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He argues the stakes go beyond paychecks. โ€œWe have an enormous workforce shortage,โ€ Altmire said. โ€œIt harms our American competitiveness. It is literally a national security issue that we canโ€™t find the workers to do the building that is necessary in the future.โ€

That โ€œbuilding,โ€ he said, includes everything from AI data centers and chip manufacturing to long-overdue work on aging infrastructure. But Altmire says cultural attitudes helped shrink the pipeline, especially the idea that a four-year degree is the only path to success.

โ€œIf you took the other path and moved into the trades, it was because you couldnโ€™t hack it,โ€ he said. โ€œYou werenโ€™t good enough to go to a four-year college.โ€

Altmire also points to demographics: an aging workforce and fewer young people entering the labor pool. And while AI is poised to disrupt jobs across the economy, he says the pattern may flip compared to past technological shifts.

โ€œThe interesting thing about AI is that affects white collar workers for the most part now,โ€ Altmire said, noting tasks tied to โ€œresearchโ€ and โ€œwritingโ€ are among those likely to be automated first.

For students considering career schools, he says outcomes should drive decisions. โ€œIt is publicly available data to know the outcomes of your school,โ€ he said. โ€œAnd that includes job placement ratesโ€ฆ graduation rates, and how much money youโ€™re making on the other side.โ€

Locally, Altmire pointed to Northeast Florida programs ranging from Florida State College at Jacksonville to specialized training in welding and nursing. Those are careers, he says, can offer strong pay and stability.