A disturbance in the Tropics may develop slowly ahead of the September holiday

A disturbance in the form of an area of low pressure is developing in the tropics east of the Leeward Islands.

The disturbance is currently in the Central Tropical Atlantic moving west and northwest.

Models show a possible development moving into the eastern or western Gulf of Mexico during the first week of September. However, no clear pattern exists for when or where the disturbance will develop.

Below is the current potential area of development for the disturbance.

Formation Zones

As the Atlantic Hurricane season moves into its peak months, there are zones where a cyclone is likely to occur. Decades of data reveal the patterns of hurricane development in the past.