Central Atlantic System Has 90% Chance of Development Invest AL92 shows increased organization in central Atlantic
NHC FORECAST (.)
The developing area of low pressure that we have been tracking in the Central Tropical Atlantic is now Invest AL92. The broad area of low pressure has formed roughly midway between the Windward Islands and the coast of Africa.
This system has become better organized since yesterday and is expected to move through a favorable environment for further development.
The Euro and the GFS are in general agreement that a storm could develop by the end of the week.
Euro vs GFS (.) A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by the middle to latter part of this week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
The formation chance through 48 hours is up to 60 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is now 90 percent.
Copyright 2025 by WJXT News4JAX - All rights reserved.
About the Author Richard Nunn headshot
Richard Nunn is the Weather Authority Chief Meteorologist
Gun 11-year-old brought on school bus was loaded, St. Johns County deputies confirm ▶ 0:53
Gun 11-year-old brought on school bus was loaded, St. Johns County deputies confirm
Paxon high schoolers stage walk out during lunch to protest ICE ▶ 1:16
Paxon high schoolers stage walk out during lunch to protest ICE
Jacksonville woman says she was trying to break up fight when she, 2 relatives, teen were shot ▶ 1:07
Jacksonville woman says she was trying to break up fight when she, 2 relatives, teen were shot
City starts foreclosure process on long-troubled home in St. Augustine ▶ 1:03
City starts foreclosure process on long-troubled home in St. Augustine
3 women, 1 teen shot during fight in Northwest Jacksonville: JSO ▶ 1:02
3 women, 1 teen shot during fight in Northwest Jacksonville: JSO
Blown tire believed to spark 120-acre Baker County wildfire amid severe drought conditions ▶ 0:51
Blown tire believed to spark 120-acre Baker County wildfire amid severe drought conditions
The Melanin Market’s grassroots beginnings turn a Historic Eastside street into an economic engine ▶ 0:31
The Melanin Market’s grassroots beginnings turn a Historic Eastside street into an economic engine
Massive drug bust involving FBI ends with 55 of 56 arrests in Glynn County ▶ 0:29
Massive drug bust involving FBI ends with 55 of 56 arrests in Glynn County
Putnam County residents still dealing with effects of wildfire ▶ 1:19
Putnam County residents still dealing with effects of wildfire
Star-filled baseball class headlines national signing day at Trinity Christian ▶ 0:59
Star-filled baseball class headlines national signing day at Trinity Christian
National signing day: Mandarin honors athletes signing with college programs ▶ 0:52
National signing day: Mandarin honors athletes signing with college programs
11 Chinese nationals indicted in marriage fraud scheme involving Jacksonville Navy sailors ▶ 1:08
11 Chinese nationals indicted in marriage fraud scheme involving Jacksonville Navy sailors
Florida nonprofit that helps veterans and low-income homeowners expands to Jacksonville ▶ 0:59
Florida nonprofit that helps veterans and low-income homeowners expands to Jacksonville
Fatal stabbing in Orange Park has shaken up residents ▶ 1:03
Fatal stabbing in Orange Park has shaken up residents
Heavy smoke prompts school, road closures in Putnam County ▶ 0:27
Heavy smoke prompts school, road closures in Putnam County
Westside brush fire 'under control,' JFRD says; minimal damage done to nearby fences, yard materials ▶ 0:46
Westside brush fire 'under control,' JFRD says; minimal damage done to nearby fences, yard materials
Council committees opt to shift control of $40M in Eastside community benefits funding back to city ▶ 0:26
Council committees opt to shift control of $40M in Eastside community benefits funding back to city
River City Guide: Fun to liven up the beginning of the month from Feb. 5 -8 ▶ 1:02
River City Guide: Fun to liven up the beginning of the month from Feb. 5 -8
Jacksonville pastor honored by FBI for helping rehabilitate gang members ▶ 0:46
Jacksonville pastor honored by FBI for helping rehabilitate gang members
POSITIVELY JAX WINNER 🌟 ▶ 1:15
POSITIVELY JAX WINNER 🌟
Florida Forest Service says lack of hurricanes a factor in Putnam County fires ▶ 1:34
Florida Forest Service says lack of hurricanes a factor in Putnam County fires
Woman killed in mobile home fire is first fire fatality in Jacksonville this year ▶ 1:02
Woman killed in mobile home fire is first fire fatality in Jacksonville this year
Chilly weather continues amid worsening drought conditions ▶ 0:36
Chilly weather continues amid worsening drought conditions
Local flower shops prepare for busiest time of the year ▶ 0:41
Local flower shops prepare for busiest time of the year
Deputies recount 'horrific' Bradford County incident that leaves two children without their parents ▶ 1:06
Deputies recount 'horrific' Bradford County incident that leaves two children without their parents
Previous photo Next photo 