72ºF

Large Hurricane Teddy Now Heading North

Category 2 Hurricane

Tropics Forecast Cone at 4:42 Monday Night, September 21st
Tropics Forecast Cone at 4:42 Monday Night, September 21st

Location 165 miles SE of Bermuda
Wind 100 mph
Heading N at 9 mph
Pressure 28.44
Coordinates 63.2W, 30.3N

Discussion

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 63.2 West. Teddy is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). Although some fluctuations in heading are likely, the hurricane is expected to move generally northward through Tuesday evening, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Wednesday. The center of Teddy will pass east of Bermuda today and then approach Nova Scotia late Tuesday or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next day or so. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin mid-week, but the cyclone is expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane Tuesday, then become a strong post-tropical cyclone when it nears Nova Scotia by Wednesday morning.

Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 4:43 Monday Night, September 21st
Tropics Satellite at 4:43 Monday Night, September 21st

Watches and Warnings

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for, * Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for, * Lower East Pubnico to Main-a-Dieu Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

Tropics Models at 3:14 Monday Night, September 21st
Tropics Models at 3:14 Monday Night, September 21st

Land Hazards

Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda into Monday night. Tropical storm conditions could begin over Nova Scotia on Tuesday afternoon.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.