Tropics: Two areas to monitor, one to watch

This is one to watch: In the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico a tropical wave located over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, where it could then begin to interact with a frontal boundary. A tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Formation chance through 48 hours is 30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 50 percent.

In the Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic an elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of next week.

Formation chance through 48 hours is 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 20 percent.