What’s brewing in the tropics? NHC tracking system in Gulf
Katie Garner, The Morning Show Meteorologist, Jacksonville, FL
Updated: July 15, 2026 at 9:19 AM
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Per the National Hurricane Center, an area of low pressure is expected to form during the weekend over the northeastern Gulf.
NHC says it now has a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone after that time as it moves northeastward along and off the southeastern US coast.
Subsequent slow development of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the northeastern gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United States by early next week.
Formation chance over 48 hours is near 0%
Formation chance over the next 7 days is 20%
8:00 AM EDT Wed. July 15th. An area of low pressure is expected to form in the northeastern Gulf this weekend, and now has a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone after that time as it moves northeastward along and off the southeastern US coast.