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Tracking the Tropics: the National Hurricane Center continues to monitor two areas of weak development

Thursday 2AM

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two separate areas of tropical activity — one in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean and another closer to home in the Gulf — but neither is expected to pose a significant threat in the near term.

Atlantic wave stays disorganized

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave and located a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By this weekend, the system is forecast to move into a hostile environment, and further development is not expected.

The National Hurricane Center puts the chance of the system forming into a tropical cyclone at just 10% over both the next 48 hours and the next seven days — keeping it in the “low” category.

Gulf system could develop early next week

An area of low pressure is forecast to form this weekend over the northeastern Gulf. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it meanders over the northeastern Gulf or moves slowly northeastward toward the coast of the southeastern United States early next week.

The NHC says some gradual development is possible, though the system’s formation chances remain low — near 0% within 48 hours, climbing to 20% over the next seven days.

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