Three Areas to Watch in the Atlantic This Week
The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on three areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic, although only one currently has a notable chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next seven days.
🌊 Disturbance 1: 10% Chance of Development
A broad area of showers and thunderstorms is moving across the central tropical Atlantic, roughly halfway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
Forecasters say the tropical wave could gradually become better organized through midweek as it moves quickly westward.
However, conditions are expected to become less favorable later this week as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
Development chances:
- Next 48 hours: 10%
- Next 7 days: 10%
🌊 Disturbance 2: 60% Chance of Development
This is the area the National Hurricane Center is watching most closely.
A small area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system is expected to move slowly westward, where it could merge with another tropical wave currently moving off the west coast of Africa.
Forecasters expect conditions to become more favorable for development by midweek. A tropical depression could form during the latter half of the week as the system heads west to west-northwest across the central Atlantic.
Development chances:
- Next 48 hours: 20%
- Next 7 days: 60%
For now, there is no named storm associated with this system, but it has the highest development potential of the three areas being monitored.
🌊 Disturbance 3: 10% Chance of Development
A trough of low pressure several hundred miles northwest of Bermuda is also producing showers and thunderstorms.
Some development is possible over the next couple of days as the system races eastward, staying well north of Bermuda.
But its window for development is expected to be short. The system will reach cooler waters later this week, and forecasters say its chances of becoming a tropical cyclone should end after Wednesday.
Development chances:
- Next 48 hours: 10%
- Next 7 days: 10%
👀 The Bottom Line
Of the three areas being monitored, Disturbance 2 has the best chance of developing, with a 60% chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days.
The other two systems currently have only a 10% chance of development.
It’s still early, and conditions can change quickly in the tropical Atlantic. Anyone with interests in the Caribbean, Bermuda or the U.S. East Coast should continue to monitor updates from the National Hurricane Center as the week progresses.