The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on two areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic. The good news is the chance for development has decreased for each disturbance.
Disturbance 1: 10% Chance of Development
A tropical wave near the Windward Islands is producing gusty winds and an area of showers and thunderstorms.
This system is moving into a region of increasing upper-level winds and drier air, and the potential for tropical cyclone formation has decreased.
Even though development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds to near gale force and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles today.
Development chances:
- Next 48 hours: 10%
- Next 7 days: 10%
Disturbance 2 (AL94): 20% Chance of Development
A tropical wave over the Central Tropical Atlantic, located more than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system could occur during the next couple of days. After that time, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds, decreasing its chances for development.
Development chances:
- Next 48 hours: 20%
- Next 7 days: 20%
One important reminder
The percentages displayed by the National Hurricane Center represent the chance that a tropical depression or storm will form—not the likelihood of a hurricane, landfall or impacts at a particular location. Right now, there is no reason for alarm in Florida, but we are entering the portion of hurricane season when tropical activity typically increases, so checking the forecast regularly is always a good idea.