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The tropics fire up with peak hurricane season right around the corner

Tracking The Tropics
Tracking The Tropics

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season continues to be quite active and The Weather Authority has their eye on 4 tropical disturbances.

Tropical Wave #1

The first is right over northeast Florida, which is why we’ve had a cloudy and damp weekend. The NHC has the system potentially becoming at tropical depression by mid week, after it moves offshore away from northeast Florida. It’s important to note that other than the rain were seeing this weekend this will not impact northeast Florida once offshore.

NHC Update:

“An area of low pressure is expected to form off the southeastern coast of the United States in a day or two. Subsequent development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves northeastward or east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast of the U.S. and then away from land.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.”

Tropical Wave #2

The second disturbance is a tropical wave moving into the eastern Caribbean. The cluster of thunderstorms is showing signs of organization and has a 80% chance of development over the next 5 days.

NHC Update:

“A westward-moving tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure area is located over the eastern Caribbean Sea just west of the Windward Islands. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves moves westward at about 15 mph across the central Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and Yucatan should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.”

Tropical Wave #3

In the eastern Atlantic there’s a tropical wave that has a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. This slow moving disturbance will have a low chance for development over the next few days.

NHC Update:

“A westward-moving tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is producing limited shower activity, and further development is becoming less likely due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.”

Tropical Wave #4

Back in the eastern Atlantic right of the coast of Africa is another tropical wave. This disturbance has only a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days.

NHC Update:

“A new tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a couple of days. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.”


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