JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.
This system is an early season storm and will only slowly increase in strength.
The NHC is forecasting this system to potentially become Tropical Storm Alex as it moves off shore into the open Atlantic.
This track has kept much of the heavy rains and impact away from Jacksonville.
Central and Southern Florida has seen up to 9 inches of rain in some neighborhoods as heavy squalls of rain rolled through late Friday through Saturday.
Potential Tropical Cyclone One is a heavily sheared system with much of the worst weather far away from the center of the storm. Therefore, when tracking the storm, don’t look to the center of the storm to note where the worst of the bad weather is located.
Here’s the 11 p.m. advisory:
At 11pm EDT, the disturbance was centered near latitude 28.4 north, longitude 78.2 west. The system is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued relatively fast northeast to east-northeast motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move away from the northwestern Bahamas and move near or to the north of Bermuda on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical or subtropical storm on Sunday, and some strengthening is possible. However, gradual weakening is expected early next week.
* formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* formation chance through 5 days... High...90 percent.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).