Central Atlantic System Has 90% Chance of Development

The developing area of low pressure that we have been tracking in the Central Tropical Atlantic is now Invest AL92. The broad area of low pressure has formed roughly midway between the Windward Islands and the coast of Africa.

This system has become better organized since yesterday and is expected to move through a favorable environment for further development.

The Euro and the GFS are in general agreement that a storm could develop by the end of the week.

A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by the middle to latter part of this week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

The formation chance through 48 hours is up to 60 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is now 90 percent.