Why the tropics are suddenly active, when June systems are extremely rare
The tropics in the Atlantic have become very active. Tropical Storm Bret formed Monday evening and a second system is becoming likely to develop by midweek. But itโs not just active. Itโs historically active in a region where June systems are extremely rare.
What to do when a hurricane threatens
When a tropical storm or hurricane threatens Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida, it is important to take action quickly long before the storm arrives. While long-term planning is important, there are some key things that need to be accomplished in the short-term.
What the forecast cone doesnโt tell you
One thing most people think of during hurricane season is the famous forecast cone. The cone was developed in 2002 by the National Hurricane Center to help convey the future movement of the system and the uncertainty in the track. But there are a lot of important details the forecast cone does not tell us.
Something swirling in the Atlantic
From the NHC: A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for some slow development of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5-10 mph over the tropical Atlantic through early next week.
One area to watch in the Caribbean
A broad area of low pressure located just east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Satellite-derived wind data and radar images from Barbados indicate that this system does not yet have a well-defined circulation center. However, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next several days if the system remains over open waters while moving generally westward at about 15 mph through the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea. An Air Force reconnaissance mission is scheduled to investigate the system this morning, if necessary.
Ian becomes a Hurricane, Rapid strengthening expected
While it is too soon to determine the exact magnitude and location of these impacts, residents in Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and closely monitor forecast updates through the weekend.